So a 50% risk is simply not acceptable to us — we who have to live with the consequences. The following table shows the dates of preparation of the State Plans of Action against Climate Change. Its main function is to evaluate the scientific, technical and socioeconomic information, the potential impacts and the existing options for the mitigation and adaptation of Climate Change. [7] The majority of farmers in Mexico use, save, and exchange the seed of traditional maize landraces along with “creolized” (hybridized or cross-pollinated) commercial cultivars, which are typically planted in small (<5 ha) rain-fed fields. [5][clarification needed] Ecological impacts of climate change within Mexico include reductions in landscape connectivity and shifting migratory patterns of animals. The profitability of the projects inherent the measures differently, since the execution of some measures will invariably generate savings and another costs. Yucatán 2014 Inventory of Greenhouse Gases in the Transportation Sector. [7], Recommended climate adaptation strategies for coffee production in Mexico include (1) promoting farming practices that increase biodiversity, such as agroforestry, which provides protection against extreme weather events and allows for product diversification, (2) diversifying farmer incomes to mitigate risks from climate and market volatility, and (3) enabling markets that support sustainable coffee growing practices, among others. [14] This is important because the distribution of these forests is an integral factor of landscape connectivity. Mexico alone has 59 unique maize landraces recorded[32] and thousands of regionally adapted maize varieties. To face it in global communities and national level, - substantial changes are necessary accordingly. Average annual humidity is around 70%. Since its creation, the INECC budget has decreased to the average rate of 10.14%. [clarification needed], The mean annual temperature has increased by 0.6° C in Mexico since 1960. Climate change is one of the greatest threats that our civilization is facing because increases in extreme temperatures severely affect humans, the economy, and ecosystems. [17] Results showed that habitat suitability for over half of 130 bat species is expected to decrease under current climate trends. Tabasco 2011 Legal framework While stress-tolerant maize transgenics could bring important benefits to Mexico, there are a number of concerns associated with them. Michoacán In process A large number of smallholder farmers in Mexico depend on rain-fed maize for their livelihoods, leaving these farmers particularly vulnerable to temperature and precipitation fluxes from climate change. Specific recommendations from experts [15] A large amount of land in Mexico is already designated as protected areas, as such, these conservation areas are refugia for a number of threatened species. [45] It has been estimated that 60-70% of coffee production in Mexico is grown under shade by a diversity of tree species. The emission of fossil fuel combustion emissions is estimated once of two years, the estimate of emissions other than the burning of emissions, except for those related to the change in land use, and the total estimated once in four years.. [24][7] Biotechnology, and the development and promotion of maize transgenics in particular, is being promoted as a critical climate adaptation strategy, not only in Mexico but around the world. [33] Declines in agricultural productivity due to climate change might cause 1.4 to 6.7 million adult Mexicans to emigrate by the year 2080. México 2013 [37][38][39][40][41], The Mexican government’s climate change program explicitly identifies “the adoption and implementation of sustainable agriculture” as a key adaptation strategy. Precipitation patterns are also changing, with more intense droughts and a greater proportion of … Veracruz 2009 Throughout the southwestern United States, heat wcomingaves are be more common, and snow is melting earlier in spring. The largest changes in precipitation are anticipated to occur during the summer months, especially in southern Mexico. Results on the historical climate conditions in Mexico may be useful for climate change analyses for both environmental and social sciences. The cost of the 30 sectoral measures amounts, 126 billion USD (in 2014-2030). Climate change impacts are especially severe in Mexico City due to increases in air pollution. Tropical storm activity in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico has increased during the past 20 years. The pillars of the climate change policy are the creation of economic, financial and fiscal instruments, implementation of research and development for the strengthening of institutional capacities, implementation of a climate culture, implementation of a monitoring and evaluation network and strengthening strategic cooperation and international leadership. Figure 7. In 2018 the General Law on Climate Change (LGCC) was modified to fulfilled the Paris Agreement are established, incorporating the goal to limit the increase of the average temperature of the planet less than 2°C. In 2012, Mexico was the first country that implemented the national legislation within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), drafting the General Law on Climate Change and becoming one of the pioneers at the international level in matters of legislative creation to reduce GHG emissions, regulate the national policy of mitigation and adaptation and prioritize strategic actions with the greatest potential to provide co-benefits of health and well-being for the population. Climate change in Mexico is expected to have widespread impacts on Mexico: with significant decreases in precipitation and increases in temperatures. The 93% of the gases emitted by the transport are from private cars, buses, cargo trucks, and motorcycles (as an example, it is shown a CO2 estimate by different type of transport that is not linked to the current emissions of Mexico). The countries ,the members of the United Nations Framework Convention are committed to periodic review and reporting with transparent and detailed information on the generating GHG emissions and the different mitigation and adaptation actions to achieve the goal during the Convention and Paris Agreement. Commercial maize seed is planted on less than one-fourth of Mexico’s 8 million hectares of arable land. Greenhouse gases (GHG) are emitted from natural sources such as volcanoes, oceans and vegetation but in recent decades they have drastically increased due to the massive change in anthropogenic life. Figure 8. The Energy Transition Act places New Mexico at the forefront of tackling climate change in the United States, which requires the state to shift to 100% carbon-free energy by 2045. [15] Their research concluded that all 40 of the studied protected areas are expected to face warming temperatures while 30 will face decreased precipitation. The Evaluation Coordination carried out this evaluation, in its first cycle (2014-2018) that created two strategic evaluations; the first was the Special Program on Climate Change (PECC) where its indicators were evaluated, and the second was the Transversal Annex of the Budget of Expenditures of the Federation in the matter of climate change (AT-CC). Also it creates the mandate to establish a gradual carbon market to promote GHG reduction, considering the goal of the reduction in 50% of reduction in the respect of 2000, by 2050. Some of the recommendations of the Evaluation Coordination for this cycle are: i) establish a working group on the AT-CC to formulate mitigation criteria ii) keep the guidelines updated to formulate preliminary projects incorporating mitigation and adaptation criteria (Ministry of Finance and Public Credit) iii ) identify the goals that present lags in the implementation of the PECC iv) take into account the scope derived from the energy reform v) the legislative power must take into account strategically the sufficiency of resources and the climate change criteria under the approval of the budgetary programs vi) the indicators that don´t respond to the action of the PECC improve uncertainties Vii) lacks on well-defined budgets and a robust monitoring, reporting and verification system Viii) the congruence and linkage of the PECC with the AT-CC is limited Xix) SINACC has not participated in the preparation, implementation and monitoring of the PECC. [18] Many of these small mammals are known to inhabit tropical areas of Mexico, however, it is these tropical dry ecosystems that are highly subject to the effects of land-use change and climate change, making small mammals particularly vulnerable. The Action plan for Climate Change (PEACC) includes; long-term planning of their objectives and actions aligned to the National Strategy and the Climate Change Program, scenarios and diagnoses of vulnerability and adaptation capacity, goals and actions for mitigation and adaptation, measures, reporting and verification. Currently, the indicators are to evaluate the national climate change policy. [13][7] Regionally, precipitation changes may be anywhere between -60% to +8%. Guerrero In process It was the first developing country to submit its NDC in the lead-up to the Paris Agreement and has stressed the importance of a … A handful of coffee companies, NGOs, and agencies have initiated training and education programs for Mexican farmers to better respond to climate change. [20] Climate change has caused many people in Mexico who depend on agriculture for employment to experience economic insecurity. The instrument considered evaluation reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to create and modify national policies, to reduce and compensate GHG emissions for civil aviation It establishes the mandate to generate a National Adaptation Program and develop early warning systems for extreme hydrometeorological phenomena. Sinaloa In process It is necessary to analyze the above and reduce the concession time. The energy sector is the most significant contributor to the country’s overall greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, accounting for more than 70 percent of total emissions. The Atlas shows the disaggregation of each component and gives recommendations to increase the capacity for adaptation. "[4], Altered precipitation patterns and warming temperatures has led to economic insecurity in Mexico, particularly for smallholder farmers who grow Mexico’s economically and culturally important crops: maize and coffee. [7], Another strategy focuses on the development and promotion of new, transgenic, “climate-adapted” seed varieties that have traits for drought- and disease-resistance. As of 2013, the Transversal Annex on Climate Change of the PEF integrates the budgetary programs aimed at mitigation and adaptation of the Federal Government as shown in the following figure. [15] Researchers are investigating how protected ecosystems in Mexico will be affected by climate change, and to what degree. [14] These forests are highly subject to human disturbances such as mining and deforestation. [31] Farmers respond to climate change in varying ways: changing their agricultural practices, adjusting their livelihood strategies, or exiting agriculture altogether. In particular, concerns have been raised about the lower productivity of improved varieties compared to landraces in many parts of Mexico;[43] the longstanding lack of acceptance of transgenic varieties by Mexican farmers;[7] and that the promotion of transgenics threatens local landrace diversity. Most of the state has warmed at least one degree (F) in the last century. Figure 6. CLIMATE CHANGE The drought that is scorching Mexico, a predictable and devastating tragedy A lack of rain, the transformation of the earth and bad water management have condemned the country to repeat the agony of extremely dry seasons every decade, with their resulting social and economic consequences According to the United States Environmental Protection Agency, "New Mexico's climate is changing. [18] The researchers concluded that functional diversity in this area was lower than expected, and, as such, greater conservation efforts should be encouraged in the region. Despite the relatively low contribution of its GHG emissions to global emissions (1.33%), Mexico has assumed its responsibility to the effects of climate change in international agreements, involving the creation and evolution of the Mexican institutional and legal framework for its adaptation and alignment to transversal public policies as foundation for compliance with the targeted goals in mitigation and adaptation commitments; For example, The enactment of the General Law on Climate Change (LGCC) supports the creation of the National System of Climate Change (SINACC) in addition to the actions established in the National Development Plan 2013-2018 (PND). [7] However, implementation of any adaptation or mitigation strategy will need to take into account the complexity of coupled human-natural systems, wealth and power inequities, and the varying scales at which climate change processes are occurring. In addition, three institutions that are created under the LGCC are part of this System to ensure the participation of society and the technical support necessary to address the issue of climate change. The CICC is the permanent mechanism for coordinating actions among the dependencies of the Federal Public Administration on climate change. Total GHG: 171 Mt of CO2e. Mexico currently emits 1.33% of GHG emissions globally; the country ranks 13th in the world in terms of total emissions and it is the second in Latin America after Brazil. Additionally, climate change is affecting rainfall patterns. [24] Mexico’s maize yields are expected to decline from 1555 to 1440 kg/ha by 2055. The climate in Mexico is tropical with a rainy and dry season and little temperature fluctuation from season to season. Aguascalientes In process • Municipalities: they must provide urban services, local ecological management and urban development, municipal solid waste management, procurement of public transport, conduct education and information campaigns, participate in the design and application of incentives and develop, in collaboration with INECC, the information of the categories of emitting sources originated in its territory, for its incorporation into the National Emissions Inventory. Tree-ring analysis indicates that New Mexico has a long and highly variable history of In 2017, an estimated seven million people were employed in the agricultural sector in Mexico. Climate change is making Mexico’s land far less suitable for growing food and crops. A flawed proposal from Mexico at the climate summit stresses the link between climate change and migration. Higher temperatures are expected to increase evapotranspiration rates, leading to drying trends in soil moisture.[29]. [12] Regional studies in Mexico have projected that coffee growing could be unviable by the end of the decade. [24] It is a critical component of the diets and nutritional intake of both the urban and rural populations. The first conference was held in Berlin, Germany, where it was agreed to stabilize the GHG concentrations in the atmosphere. In this sense, the sectors that show greater profitability are; electricity, transport, residential, commercial; the least profitable are oil, gas and land use change, as shown in the following figure. [28] Highland farmers and the rural poor are especially vulnerable to these climatic shifts. In the General Forestry Law, a modification must be made since it does not allow the Acehúche (low forest) to regenerate and these lands that could be used for conservation are eventually allocated to agriculture. If a virus can cause a health and economic crisis like the one we currently face, not taking action against climate change will pose more severe and irreversible consequences. Mitigation Commitments 2014 to 2030 - 1520 Million tons of CO2e. Oaxaca 2014 [12] Variable and extreme climatic events such as droughts, floods, and excessive heat is already impacting both the quality and overall production of coffee in Mexico. With the intention of creating a conceptual framework to evaluate and be able to measure vulnerability to Climate Change according to different criteria, the Climate Change Vulnerability Atlas (AVCC) was a tool that provides recommendations at the municipal, state or national level, showing current territorial and potential vulnerability according to 3 variables: exposure (character, magnitude and climate variation), sensitivity (degree of affectation due to climatic variability) and adaptive capacity (institutional resources that allow to trigger adaptation processes). From 2010 to 2015 the TCMA decreased to 0.8%. National GHG contribution by sector. It is the medium- and long-term guiding instrument to face climate change. [22] Over the past 15 years until 2010, a Mayan village in Cancún, Tabi, experienced a 50-60% reduction in crop yield. The temperature in all areas of Mexico typically ranges between 50°F and 90°F throughout the year. National System of Climate Change. According to the Projected Contributions in the National Level, it is estimated that by 2030, emissions from the transport sector will grow by 53% in the respect of emissions in 2013. 5. [24], In Mexico and Central America more broadly, some 8.5 million people rely on coffee production for their livelihoods. Its NDC pledged to cut … Monitor the official standard to certify and analyze the places where the palm can be planted to produce palm oil. 11. Emphasis on diffusion on the importance of conserving instead of restoring. [12] This resulted in $500 million in crop damages to the region and caused many people in the region to lose their livelihoods. Their aim is to promote synergies to face together the vulnerability and risks of the country and establish the priority actions of mitigation and adaptation to climate change. In 2013-2017, Mexico has reduced 70.23 MtCO2e in 2013 baseline. Maize is of central importance to Mexican agriculture, occupying the largest cultivated area in the country. Economic growth was sustained by the same patterns of energy consumption and degradation of the natural capital of the country. Modify Article 27 of the Law on National Waters where only water is considered in its liquid phase and companies "bombard" the clouds to have liquid water. Quintana Roo 2013 In 1979 the World Climate Conference was held for the first time, climate change was considered as a real threat to the deterioration of the planet and the lives of its inhabitants. Climate change is making Mexico City unbreathable The higher the temperatures, the greater the air pollution, and last year was the hottest in Mexico's history Climate change in Mexico is expected to have widespread impacts on Mexico: with significant decreases in precipitation and increases in temperatures. Morelos 2015 [7] Sustainable agriculture can take many forms. Maize diversity in Mexico continues to be maintained and managed by smallholder farmers who participate in traditional seed sharing networks. Low emission is based on the acceleration of the energy transition towards clean energy sources, improvement in sustainable consumption, transiting to the sustainability of cities, improving agricultural and forestry practices, reducing emissions and promoting co-benefits to health and wellbeing. Storm intensity is closely related to variations in sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic. This will put pressure on the economy, people and the biodiversity of many parts of the country, which have large arid or hot climates. [32] Bellon et al. [17], A significant number of mammals are endemic to Mexico, an abundance of those species being small mammals. [14], Mexico contains a significant portion of the world's biodiversity, making it essential that "biodiversity hot-spots" present within its borders are properly protected from the effects of climate change. [7] Researchers have also noted the importance of state leadership in addressing climate change by, for example, training and preparing farmers for climate adaptation. National Atlas of Vulnerability of Climate Change September 2016. Its effects are demonstrated unevenly throughout the planet due to different types of climates, ecosystems, infrastructure, urbanization, economy and demographic concentration. Governance In the Chamber of Senators, the work is carried out by the Special Commission on Climate Change and the Committee on the Environment and Natural Resources. It was the first developing country to submit an NDC in 2015. Mexico has mitigation commitments for 2014-2030 and it is an example all over the world on Climate Change. [17] The results also revealed that land-use change had less of an effect on habitat suitability for bats than climate change. Campeche 2015 [15], Warming temperatures and land-use change are contributing to the movement of butterfly distributions up the Sierra de Juárez mountain range in Oaxaca, Mexico. In the transportation sector, Mexico intends to mitigate 9.7 MtCO2e from 2013 to2030. The LGCC foresees the integration of a National System of Climate Change (SINACC) as the institutional arrangement to guarantee an effective coordination among government orders, the legislative power, the states and the municipalities. Regulate methane gas leaks in the oil production chain. [29] Climate change is very closely tied to environmental justice in Mexico, given that poor smallholder farmers will likely carry the largest burden. Average cost of mitigation and gross sector costs 2014-2030. Yet, it is unclear whether agricultural transitions in response to non-climatic factors lead to maladaptation to longer-term changes in climate. Already climate change has impacted agriculture,[1] biodiversity, farmer livelihoods, and migration,[2][3] as well as "water, health, air pollution, traffic disruption from floods, [and] housing vulnerability to landslides. Key strategies include crop diversification and the implementation of more resilient coffee production systems. In recent years, an increasing number of the population has moved to urban areas like Creel for employment due to climate change’s impacts on their farming capabilities or … The 2013, INEYCEF plans to convert aspirational commitments into mandatory targets. National Inventory of Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2015. The tool focuses on climate issues such as floods, droughts, hurricanes, mudslides, fires and vector diseases such as dengue that can be broken out in a country. Underlying this is the México General Climate Change Law (2012-18). Mexico is the second-largest greenhouse gas emitter in the Latin America and Caribbean region. National Communications (6th Communication) Maize landraces in Mexico are conserved in place, or in-situ, by farmers who continue to grow them in their fields. Baja California Sur 2012 [11][12] Precipitation is expected to decrease by -3% to -15% by 2090 for the country as a whole. By 2030 it is estimated that emissions from the transport sector will be 266 million tons of CO2e. The INECC is one of the most recent institutions of the Mexican State, in 2012 and the budget was assigned to operate the following year. Most of the state has warmed at least one degree (F) in the last century. Source: National Financier, Status of Results of Trust 80662 Climate Change Fund 2015, 2016, 2017 y 2018 Puebla 2011 State Start According to the National Inventory of Greenhouse Gases (GHG), issued by the INECC (2015) with information in 2013. Ciudad de México 2014. In 2013, the National Vision Strategy 10-20-40 (ENCC) was presented. Coahuila 2013 Planning instruments San Luis Potosí 2006 Figure 9. Figure 10. Projected Determined Contributions at the national level by sector in Mexico. Source: Expenditure Budget of the Federation. Emissions of carbon dioxide from passenger transport CO2 emissions per passenger and kilometer. Baja California 2012 There is Paris Agreement within the framework of the UNFCCC, which came into force in 2016 where the countries establish measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. [16] In 2016, research was conducted to determine which butterfly species were moving either up or down the mountain range. This project documents paleoceanographic, climatic, and environmental changes in the Gulf of Mexico and adjacent land areas over the last 10,000 years. In addition to serving as a platform for actions at the national level, this System should contribute to strengthening the international climate regime and the leadership of Mexico in this field. Jalisco 2014 Projected and Determined Contribution at the National Level of Mexico (INDC) According to articles 98 and 104 of the LGCC, once in two years, an evaluation of the National Climate Change Policy (PNCC) must be carried out to improve the design and processes to deal more efficiently with the challenges of the Climate Change in Mexico, that move towards a low carbon economy and decrease the vulnerability of the population. . The update of the National Inventory of Emissions of Gases and Greenhouse Compounds (INEGYCEI) 1990-2015 will be part of the Sixth National Communication and the Second Biennial Update Report. 4. The Climate Change Council (C3) is a consultative body of the CICC and is composed of members from the social, private and academic sectors, with recognized merits and experience in climate change. In the context of the Paris Agreement, Mexico accepted the unconditional international commitment to undertake mitigation measures to reduce 22% of its GHG emissions by 2030, which means reduction of around 1.520 million tons of carbon dioxide. The Nationally Projected and Determined Contributions (INDC) is a term used in which the states parties agreed to submit a plan of action for reducing greenhouse gases (GHG) to the UNFCCC (projected contributions in case of adopting a new agreement). This will put pressure on the economy, people and the biodiversity of many parts of the country, which have large[clarification needed] arid or hot climates. Currently, Mexico is only country from Latin America has made the first six communications as a developing country, (1997, 2001, 2006, 2009, 2012 and November 2018), following the guidelines of the UNFCCC to inform its efforts to confront climate change according to a methodology.. MIT School of Humanities, Arts, and Social Sciences. ", "Climate change is making Mexico City unbreathable", "IPCC — Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change", "UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles | Research Projects | Climate Systems and Policy | Research | School of Geography and the Environment | University of Oxford", "Climate change threatens the most biodiverse regions of Mexico", "Changes in butterfly distributions and species assemblages on a Neotropical mountain range in response to global warming and anthropogenic land use", "Forecasting the combined effects of climate and land use change on Mexican bats", "Two decades of climate driving the dynamics of functional and taxonomic diversity of a tropical small mammal community in western Mexico", "Patterns and drivers of long‐term changes in breeding bird communities in a global biodiversity hotspot in Mexico", "Events - Farm Workers in Mexico's Export Agriculture Conference Report | Migration Dialogue", "Impacts of tropospheric ozone and climate change on Mexico wheat production", "Impacts of Extreme Heat Stress and Increased Soil Temperature on Plant Growth and Development", "Mayan village in Mexico impacted by climate change", "Assessing the vulnerability of traditional maize seed systems in Mexico to climate change", "Redrawing the Map: How the World's Climate Zones Are Shifting", "The Influence of Climate Change on Global Crop Productivity. The evaluation of the national policy led the Evaluation Coordination and involved the head of INECC and six Social Counselors. [16], Bat distributions and ranges in Mexico are expected to shift as a result of changes in climate and increased land-use change. [24], There is evidence to suggest that declining agricultural conditions from climate change in Mexico directly relates to migration to the United States. However, the Fund has received very small and insufficient for the challenges that Mexico faces in the face of Climate Change, as shown in the following figure. Farmers are finding it more difficult to predict rainfall, which if predicted wrong can waste "an entire season's worth of seeds". At the Earth Summit in 1992, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was established and came into force in 1994. 6. 3. Already climate change has impacted agriculture, biodiversity, farmer livelihoods, and migration, as well as "water, health, air pollution, traffic disruption from floods, [and] housing vulnerability to landslides." Several interim goals will hasten New Mexico’s move from being a relatively coal-heavy state to producing carbon-free energy by 2045, including: [27] Scientists also expect that certain insect pests and plant pathogens will survive and reproduce more often due to warming temperatures and are likely to invade new regions. The latter is necessary for the fulfillment of the purposes of the PNCC. 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