This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain. To meet this need we developed a map that we call wildland fire potential (WFP) - a raster geospatial product that can help to inform evaluations of wildfire risk or prioritization of fuels management needs across very large spatial scales (millions of acres). Wildland Fire Potential:... Introduction Risk analysis for wildland fire management has become the subject of much research in recent years (Miller and Ager 2013). Wildland fire potential: A tool for assessing wildfire risk and fuels management needs. The Southern Research Station is one of seven units that make up the U.S. Forest Service Research and Development organization – the most extensive natural resources research organization in the world. We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information. WFP is also not a forecast or wildfire outlook for any particular season, as it does not include any information on current or forecasted weather or fuel moisture conditions. Proc. Our specific objective with the WFP map was to depict the relative potential for wildfire that would be difficult for suppression resources to contain. Greg’s poster on the Wildland Fire Potential map at the 2013 conference won an award and was included in this year’s Map Book. 2015. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. To view this article, download the latest version of. 1992 – 2010). This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain. National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook This product provides outlooks for the current month, the month following and a seasonal look at the two months beyond that. Proceedings of the large wildland fires conference; May 19-23, 2014; Missoula, MT. It is instead intended for long-term strategic fuels management, and we provide an example of its use within the U.S. Forest Service to date. This map is a raster geospatial product, that is, a pattern of closely spaced rows of dots that form an image, depicting relative wildfire hazard across the conterminous United States, based primarily on wildfire simulation modeling work done by Research Ecologist Karen Short and Research Forester Mark Finney at the Fire Lab. Wildland fire potential: A tool for assessing wildfire risk and fuels management needs, https://www.fs.usda.gov/treesearch/pubs/49429. View the larger document here. Home | RMRS Home | USFS | USDA.gov | Policies & LinksFOIA | Accessibility Statement | Privacy Policy | Non-Discrimination Statement | Information Quality | USDA Recovery | USA.gov | Whitehouse.gov, Weather Information Management System Support, Fire Effects Information System (FEIS) Database, Human Performance & Innovation and Organizational Learning, Wildland Fire Management Research, Development & Application. Many SRS publications are available at cost via the Government Printing Office (GPO). With these datasets as inputs, we produced an index of WFP for all of the conterminous United States at 885 ft (270 m) resolution. The significant wildland fire potential forecasts included in this outlook represent the cumulative forecasts of the ten Geographic Area Predictive Services units and the National Predictive Services unit. To meet this need we developed a map that we call wildland fire potential (WFP) - a raster geospatial product that can help to inform evaluations of wildfire risk or prioritization of fuels management needs across very large spatial scales (millions of acres). Objective 1: Ensure that each wildfire receives an effective response consistent with the approved fire management plan, based on ecological, social, and legal consequences of the fire. WFP is also not a forecast or wildfire outlook for any particular season, as it does not include any information on current or forecasted weather or fuel moisture conditions. In: Keane, Robert E.; Jolly, Matt; Parsons, Russell; Riley, Karin. Our specific objective with the WFP map was to depict the relative potential for wildfire that would be difficult for suppression resources to contain. Kurt Johnsen, Project Leader, Plant Physiologist. To create the 2012 version, we built upon spatial estimates of wildfire likelihood and intensity generated in 2012 with the Large Fire Simulation system (FSim) for the national interagency Fire Program Analysis system (FPA), as well as spatial fuels and vegetation data from LANDFIRE 2008 and point locations of fire occurrence from FPA (ca. Ecologist Jim Menakis and Applied Fire Ecologist Frank Fay with WO Fire & Aviation Management also contributed to the Map. The wildfire hazard potential (WHP) map is a raster geospatial product produced by the USDA Forest Service, Fire Modeling Institute that can help to inform evaluations of wildfire risk or prioritization of fuels management needs across very large landscapes (millions of acres). This work depends on internal and external agency relationships, adequately assessing wildland fire potential and risk to values, and making sound decisions. RMRS-P-73. Wildfire Hazard Potential* for the conterminous United States. Proc. Dillon, Gregory K.; Menakis, James; Fay, Frank. We present the final WFP map in two forms: 1) continuous integer values, and 2) five WFP classes of very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The Predictive Services Unit began producing wildland fire potential outlooks during the 2002 fire season. The latest edition of the ESRI Map Book, Volume 29, features the Wildland Fire Potential map, produced by RMRS Spatial Fire Analyst Greg Dillon with the Fire Modeling Institute at the Missoula Fire Sciences Lab. With these datasets as inputs, we produced an index of WFP for all of the conterminous United States at 885 ft (270 m) resolution. On its own, WFP is not an explicit map of wildfire threat or risk, but when paired with spatial data depicting highly valued resources and assets such as structures or powerlines, it can approximate relative wildfire risk to those specific resources and assets. Federal wildfire managers often want to know, over large landscapes, where wildfires are likely to occur and how intense they may be. A heat wave developed across the West Coast during the first week of September that resulted in hot, dry, and unstable conditions with Since the Map’s release in February 2013, it has received broad attention from inside and outside the Forest Service. Electronic versions of publications may be downloaded, printed, and distributed. On its own, WFP is not an explicit map of wildfire threat or risk, but when paired with spatial data depicting highly valued resources and assets such as structures or powerlines, it can approximate relative wildfire risk to those specific resources and assets. To meet this need we developed a map that we call wildland fire potential (WFP) - a raster geospatial product that can help to inform evaluations of wildfire risk or prioritization of fuels management needs across very large spatial scales (millions of acres). Each summer, the Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI), makers of ArcGIS software, hosts an international User Conference in San Diego, California, attracting thousands of attendees from around the world, and each year the Forest Service displays examples of geospatial analysis and cartography from around the agency as part of the conference’s map gallery. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack and Interior Secretary Sally Jewell used the Map in a presentation to President Obama and members of the Western Governors’ Association this past June to highlight strategic approaches to fuels management on federal lands. The latest edition of the ESRI Map Book, Volume 29, features the Wildland Fire Potential map, produced by RMRS Spatial Fire Analyst Greg Dillon with the Fire Modeling Institute at the Missoula Fire Sciences Lab. In an ongoing effort to be fiscally responsible, the Southern Research Station (SRS) will no longer produce and distribute hard copies of our publications. The main objectives of the National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlooks are to improve information available to fire management decision makers. Current: Wildland fire potential: A tool for assessing wildfire risk and fuels management needs; Wildland fire potential: A tool for assessing wildfire risk and fuels management needs This article is part of a larger document. p. 60-76. International Institute of Tropical Forestry, https://www.fs.fed.us/research/people/gdillon, Wildfire triage: Targeting mitigation based on social, economic, and ecological values, Estimation of wildfire size and risk changes due to fuels treatments, Spatially explicit forecasts of large wildland fire probability and suppression costs for California, Strategic Planning, Budget And Accountability, Watershed, Fish, Wildlife, Air And Rare Plants, Recreation, Heritage And Volunteer Resources. Federal wildfire managers often want to know, over large landscapes, where wildfires are likely to occur and how intense they may be. It is instead intended for long-term strategic fuels management, and we provide an example of its use within the U.S. Forest Service to date. p. 60-76. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. RMRS-P-73. Proceedings of the large wildland fires conference; May 19-23, 2014; Missoula, MT. In: Keane, Robert E.; Jolly, Matt; Parsons, Russell; Riley, Karin. Both fire managers and policy makers increasingly want tools and information to project when and where wild - fires are likely to burn, and what the potential consequences Over time, these outlooks have been through many iterations and have changed over time with regard to their constituent products, time frame covered, timing of issuance, and categories of potential. We present the final WFP map in two forms: 1) continuous integer values, and 2) five WFP classes of very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. To create the 2012 version, we built upon spatial estimates of wildfire likelihood and intensity generated in 2012 with the Large Fire Simulation system (FSim) for the national interagency Fire Program Analysis system (FPA), as well as spatial fuels and vegetation data from LANDFIRE 2008 and point locations of fire occurrence from FPA (ca.

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